Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 89.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.2%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 70.8%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Eller
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Eller
Ribeiro
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
5
Eller
Ribeiro
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
6
Eller
Ribeiro
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
42.9% (4,887)
+8.2%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
45.6% (930)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
33.3% (147)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Eller
Ribeiro
Home
51.4% (6,118)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Eller
Ribeiro
P1
51.2%
42.6%
P2
50.1%
44.3%
P3
50.2%
41.8%
OT
56.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |