Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Eller
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Eller
Bonino
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
13
5
Eller
Bonino
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
7
Eller
Bonino
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
9
Eller
Bonino
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
54.1% (972)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Eller
Bonino
Home
51.4% (6,118)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Eller
Bonino
P1
51.2%
50.6%
P2
50.1%
48.5%
P3
50.2%
51.1%
OT
56.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |