Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Eller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Backstrom
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Eller
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
51.2% (654)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.9% (110)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
53.9% (76)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Eller shoots left. Backstrom is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Eller
Backstrom
Home
51.0% (259)
52.0% (400)
Away
47.7% (283)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Eller
Backstrom
P1
45.7%
51.6%
P2
44.3%
51.1%
P3
56.7%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |