Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Eller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eller
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Eller
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Eller
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
53.2% (77)
-0.4%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
50.0% (6)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Eller
Backstrom
Home
54.5% (448)
54.5% (55)
Away
50.2% (484)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Eller
Backstrom
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
50.9%
52.9%
P3
53.4%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |