Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 85.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 77.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Eller
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Gaustad
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Eller
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
56.2% (603)
-3.3%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
71.4% (21)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
49.3% (148)
-3.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Eller shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Eller
Gaustad
Home
49.7% (181)
55.5% (366)
Away
51.3% (228)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Eller
Gaustad
P1
54.2%
55.0%
P2
46.5%
56.9%
P3
49.6%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |