Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 78.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 54.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Eller
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Eller
Gaustad
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
2
Eller
Gaustad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
7
Eller
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Eller
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
65.4% (188)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Eller
Gaustad
Home
51.4% (6,118)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Eller
Gaustad
P1
51.2%
58.2%
P2
50.1%
56.4%
P3
50.2%
58.3%
OT
56.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |