Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Dubois 49.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 64.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 51.7%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Eller
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Dubois
Last 6: Eller 3-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Eller
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
46.2% (225)
+10.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
66.7% (27)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
75.0% (8)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Eller
Dubois
Home
53.1% (211)
46.6% (163)
Away
59.7% (278)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Eller
Dubois
P1
55.4%
45.0%
P2
58.1%
52.3%
P3
57.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |