Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.4%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kupari 50.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Eller
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Eller
Kupari
Last 9: Eller 5-4 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
Eller
Kupari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Kupari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (10,168)
50.5% (1,275)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
43.5% (23)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,740)
50.4% (139)
-3.7%
On power play, Eller has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Eller shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Eller
Kupari
Home
51.4% (6,057)
51.4% (782)
Away
49.7% (6,500)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Eller
Kupari
P1
51.2%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
48.5%
P3
50.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |