Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.5%). Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Kupari 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kupari 70.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Eller
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Kupari
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
Eller
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kupari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
53.5% (413)
-0.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
0.0% (1)
+69.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
48.2% (85)
-2.7%
On power play, Eller has a +69.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Eller
Kupari
Home
52.6% (340)
52.1% (257)
Away
51.8% (411)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Eller
Kupari
P1
52.4%
50.6%
P2
54.1%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |