Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Pelley 51.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.0%
Neutral zone
Pelley 50.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Eller
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Pelley
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
3
Eller
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.4% (440)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
25.0% (8)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
50.8% (118)
-4.1%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Eller
Pelley
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.9% (221)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Eller
Pelley
P1
51.2%
50.8%
P2
50.1%
49.3%
P3
50.2%
53.8%
OT
56.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |