Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Hintz 49.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 52.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Eller
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eller
Hintz
Last 7: Eller 2-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Eller
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Eller
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
51.6% (285)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
44.0% (50)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
30.0% (10)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Hintz is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Eller
Hintz
Home
51.3% (513)
52.3% (176)
Away
52.5% (520)
47.3% (169)
By Period
Eller
Hintz
P1
50.3%
48.2%
P2
52.8%
53.4%
P3
51.4%
48.2%
OT
87.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |