Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Hintz 51.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Eller
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Hintz
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Eller
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
52.6% (439)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
37.9% (29)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
63.6% (11)
-11.0%
On power play, Eller has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Eller
Hintz
Home
56.4% (486)
53.5% (256)
Away
51.2% (537)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Eller
Hintz
P1
55.1%
59.5%
P2
55.3%
49.2%
P3
51.7%
47.1%
OT
27.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |