Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Colton 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 56.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Eller
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Eller
Colton
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Eller
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Colton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Eller
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.6% (1,800)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
48.8% (162)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
34.5% (29)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Eller
Colton
Home
51.4% (6,118)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Eller
Colton
P1
51.2%
53.5%
P2
50.1%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
47.9%
OT
56.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |