Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 88.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 82.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Eller
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Eller
Gagner
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
8
Eller
Gagner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
10
3
Eller
Gagner
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
6
2
Eller
Gagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
51.5% (928)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
35.0% (226)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Eller
Gagner
Home
51.4% (6,118)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Eller
Gagner
P1
51.2%
44.6%
P2
50.1%
46.1%
P3
50.2%
47.3%
OT
56.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |