Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Gagner 52.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 71.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Eller
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Eller
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
76.5% (17)
-23.7%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
28.6% (7)
+39.0%
On power play, Eller has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Eller
Gagner
Home
54.5% (448)
75.0% (16)
Away
50.2% (484)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Eller
Gagner
P1
52.8%
25.0%
P2
50.9%
64.3%
P3
53.4%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |