Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gionta 41.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 83.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 81.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Eller
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Eller
Gionta
Last 9: Eller 6-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Eller
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
1
Eller
Gionta
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
40.6% (1,902)
+10.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
61.5% (26)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
40.1% (292)
+6.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Eller
Gionta
Home
51.4% (6,118)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Eller
Gionta
P1
51.2%
40.8%
P2
50.1%
41.8%
P3
50.2%
39.8%
OT
56.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |