Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kero 46.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Eller
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Eller
Kero
Last 9: Eller 8-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
47.0% (668)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
42.9% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
31.9% (47)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Eller
Kero
Home
51.4% (6,118)
49.1% (332)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Eller
Kero
P1
51.2%
47.6%
P2
50.1%
48.8%
P3
50.2%
40.9%
OT
56.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |