Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kennedy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kennedy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Kennedy 47.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kennedy 54.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.8%
Neutral zone
Kennedy 50.9%
Result
Tim Kennedy favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Eller
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Kennedy
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kennedy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kennedy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
4
Eller
Kennedy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
45.3% (137)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (2)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
100.0% (1)
-49.2%
On power play, Eller has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Kennedy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Eller
Kennedy
Home
48.3% (329)
46.8% (62)
Away
44.9% (356)
44.3% (79)
By Period
Eller
Kennedy
P1
50.0%
46.5%
P2
41.3%
46.8%
P3
47.4%
43.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Kennedy
36.0%▼
42.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |