Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kennedy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kennedy 44.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kennedy 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kennedy 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kennedy 58.4%
Result
Tim Kennedy favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Eller
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Kennedy
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kennedy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kennedy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
4
Eller
Kennedy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
41.3% (218)
+9.8%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
44.4% (9)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
100.0% (2)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Kennedy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Kennedy is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Eller
Kennedy
Home
51.4% (6,118)
41.8% (91)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
42.4% (139)
By Period
Eller
Kennedy
P1
51.2%
40.0%
P2
50.1%
44.0%
P3
50.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Kennedy
36.0%▼
42.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Tim Kennedy |