Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Moore 38.2% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 96.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 85.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Eller
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Moore
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Moore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Moore
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Eller
Moore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
31.2% (170)
+19.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
58.8% (17)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
21.1% (19)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Moore is 31.3% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Eller
Moore
Home
51.4% (6,118)
30.1% (93)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
34.5% (113)
By Period
Eller
Moore
P1
51.2%
35.4%
P2
50.1%
31.3%
P3
50.2%
29.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Moore
20.0%▼
32.5%
32.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Trevor Moore |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Trevor Moore |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |