Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Bozak 48.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 73.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 81.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Eller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Eller
Bozak
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
1
Eller
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
48.8% (1,036)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
53.8% (225)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
39.1% (138)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Eller shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Eller
Bozak
Home
52.8% (525)
50.8% (608)
Away
53.7% (454)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Eller
Bozak
P1
53.9%
48.0%
P2
54.8%
48.1%
P3
50.9%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 1, 2013 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |