Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Eller
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Eller
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
46.7% (338)
+4.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
50.0% (6)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
32.6% (43)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Eller
Bozak
Home
51.2% (510)
47.9% (194)
Away
47.8% (521)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Eller
Bozak
P1
50.7%
40.2%
P2
49.0%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
43.1%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |