Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Nylander 49.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 60.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Eller
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Eller
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
48.9% (133)
+3.9%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
55.0% (20)
+14.2%
On power play, Eller has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Nylander is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Eller
Nylander
Home
52.6% (340)
48.6% (105)
Away
51.8% (411)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Eller
Nylander
P1
52.4%
52.1%
P2
54.1%
46.3%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.2%
Nylander
36.0%▼
45.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |