Scouting Report
Laurent Dauphin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dauphin wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 52.1% vs Geekie 49.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 54.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 56.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 66.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Dauphin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dauphin
Geekie
Last 9: Dauphin 4-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dauphin
2
1
Dauphin
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dauphin
2
1
Dauphin
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Dauphin
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (152)
49.9% (505)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.4% (93)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dauphin is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Dauphin shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Geekie
Home
52.9% (87)
50.0% (314)
Away
54.3% (70)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Dauphin
Geekie
P1
59.0%
51.3%
P2
46.8%
46.9%
P3
57.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |