Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.9% vs 43.9%). Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 45.6% vs Gagner 44.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 57.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Korpikoski
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Korpikoski
Gagner
Last 5: Korpikoski 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Korpikoski
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Korpikoski
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (191)
43.1% (758)
+3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (35)
50.3% (147)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
34.6% (26)
-5.2%
On power play, Gagner has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Korpikoski is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Korpikoski shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Gagner
Home
42.3% (142)
47.4% (468)
Away
46.1% (102)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Korpikoski
Gagner
P1
37.1%
43.8%
P2
43.6%
43.8%
P3
50.0%
44.0%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
43.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2010 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 01:56 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |