Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 40.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 75.0%
Defensive zone
Korpikoski 73.7%
Neutral zone
Korpikoski 73.6%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Korpikoski
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Korpikoski
Gagner
Last 5: Korpikoski 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Korpikoski
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Korpikoski
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (323)
45.4% (4,699)
-6.1%
Power Play
38.5% (52)
51.5% (928)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (61)
35.0% (226)
+2.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Korpikoski is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Korpikoski shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Gagner
Home
39.7% (232)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
37.9% (206)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Korpikoski
Gagner
P1
35.5%
44.6%
P2
39.3%
46.1%
P3
43.5%
47.3%
OT
16.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
36.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
38.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2010 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 01:56 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |