Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crouse on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Crouse wins 31.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 41.1% vs McTavish 51.5% (-20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 80.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 71.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Crouse
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Crouse
McTavish
Last 5: Crouse 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
3
0
Crouse
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Crouse
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
27.8% (72)
51.3% (725)
-23.5%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
55.8% (113)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
On penalty kill, Crouse has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Crouse is 31.5% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Crouse shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Crouse
McTavish
Home
33.3% (48)
52.0% (454)
Away
28.6% (42)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Crouse
McTavish
P1
33.3%
51.3%
P2
26.7%
50.4%
P3
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
39.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
31.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |