Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crouse on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Crouse wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 41.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Crouse leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 61.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 82.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 76.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Crouse
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Crouse
Thomas
Last 10: Crouse 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
2
0
Crouse
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
4
3
Crouse
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Crouse
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (394)
51.1% (5,350)
-12.0%
Power Play
40.4% (47)
55.8% (921)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (56)
49.9% (691)
-10.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Crouse is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Crouse shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Crouse
Thomas
Home
40.8% (262)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
37.4% (235)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Crouse
Thomas
P1
44.5%
50.6%
P2
33.7%
52.9%
P3
37.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
36.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Lawson Crouse |