Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Crouse wins 30.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 41.1% vs Thomas 52.9% (-22.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 57.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 85.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 68.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Crouse
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Crouse
Thomas
Last 5: Crouse 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
1
0
Crouse
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Crouse
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crouse
1
0
Crouse
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
27.8% (72)
53.2% (1,166)
-25.4%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
56.9% (262)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
48.4% (221)
+18.3%
On even strength, Thomas has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Crouse is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Crouse shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Crouse
Thomas
Home
33.3% (48)
51.6% (830)
Away
28.6% (42)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Crouse
Thomas
P1
33.3%
52.7%
P2
26.7%
55.6%
P3
33.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
39.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
31.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |