Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 91.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Lowry
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lowry
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Carlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
41.8% (648)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
37.3% (51)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
38.7% (31)
+4.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carlsson
Home
53.0% (583)
44.5% (362)
Away
50.6% (605)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Lowry
Carlsson
P1
52.1%
46.3%
P2
51.8%
35.1%
P3
52.3%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |