Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 83.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 83.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 9-1 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
Carlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
41.8% (648)
+4.5%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
37.3% (51)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
38.7% (31)
+13.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
48.1% (489)
44.5% (362)
Away
46.9% (475)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
47.4%
46.3%
P2
48.3%
35.1%
P3
46.6%
43.9%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |