Elias Pettersson vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 24-6 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 92.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 79.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 76.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
6
(30 meetings)
24
6
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
13
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
8
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
41.0% (1,844)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
42.9% (154)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
35.0% (120)
+3.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
46.8% (2,734)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
44.7%
43.3%
P2
46.0%
36.5%
P3
47.4%
43.2%
OT
39.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |