Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Carlsson 41.2% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Dach
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
41.0% (1,844)
-4.5%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
42.9% (154)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
35.0% (120)
+1.0%
On power play, Carlsson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Dach
Carlsson
Home
37.0% (857)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
35.8% (689)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Dach
Carlsson
P1
35.3%
43.3%
P2
34.5%
36.5%
P3
40.4%
43.2%
OT
0.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%