Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Couture 48.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 63.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Carlsson
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Carlsson
Couture
Last 10: Carlsson 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Carlsson
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
48.8% (8,919)
-7.8%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
54.6% (624)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
39.8% (992)
-4.8%
On power play, Couture has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Couture
Home
42.2% (1,044)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Carlsson
Couture
P1
43.3%
47.9%
P2
36.5%
47.9%
P3
43.2%
49.2%
OT
40.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 00:09 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 00:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Logan Couture |