Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Couture 49.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 52.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Carlsson
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Carlsson
Couture
Last 10: Carlsson 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Carlsson
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
44.9% (78)
-10.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
63.6% (11)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Couture
Home
38.6% (254)
45.2% (62)
Away
31.6% (307)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Carlsson
Couture
P1
35.9%
55.2%
P2
33.8%
44.4%
P3
34.3%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 00:09 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 00:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Logan Couture |