Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Granlund 47.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Carlsson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carlsson
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Carlsson
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
46.7% (885)
-12.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
44.9% (69)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.0% (98)
-9.0%
On even strength, Granlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Granlund
Home
38.6% (254)
51.1% (495)
Away
31.6% (307)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Carlsson
Granlund
P1
35.9%
49.9%
P2
33.8%
46.4%
P3
34.3%
44.3%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |