Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Gregor 46.4% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 62.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Carlsson
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
36.8% (38)
+8.2%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
50.0% (2)
-3.6%
On even strength, Carlsson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Gregor is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gregor
Home
42.5% (435)
40.7% (27)
Away
45.5% (429)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Carlsson
Gregor
P1
45.3%
42.9%
P2
38.7%
21.4%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
37.5%