Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Suter 46.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 71.6%
Defensive zone
Suter 80.2%
Neutral zone
Suter 70.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Carlsson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Carlsson
Suter
Last 10: Carlsson 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Carlsson
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
6
2
Carlsson
Suter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
46.2% (3,208)
-5.2%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
52.9% (278)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
40.3% (303)
-5.3%
On power play, Suter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Suter
Home
42.2% (1,044)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Carlsson
Suter
P1
43.3%
46.6%
P2
36.5%
46.0%
P3
43.2%
46.1%
OT
40.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Pius Suter |