Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Suter 43.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 53.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 63.1%
Neutral zone
Suter 52.7%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Carlsson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Carlsson
Suter
Last 10: Carlsson 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Carlsson
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
6
2
Carlsson
Suter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
42.4% (740)
-0.6%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
48.0% (75)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
37.3% (59)
+1.4%
On power play, Suter has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Suter
Home
44.5% (362)
41.8% (407)
Away
38.3% (368)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Carlsson
Suter
P1
46.3%
44.7%
P2
35.1%
41.5%
P3
43.9%
41.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Pius Suter |