Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Peca 50.2% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Peca 54.1%
Defensive zone
Komarov 56.1%
Neutral zone
Komarov 52.9%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Komarov
Peca
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
51.5% (423)
-2.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
12.5% (8)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
44.2% (43)
+1.4%
On power play, Komarov has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Komarov
Peca
Home
49.2% (537)
46.1% (193)
Away
45.7% (591)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Komarov
Peca
P1
47.6%
56.6%
P2
47.3%
44.4%
P3
47.5%
50.3%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%