Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Bourque 46.4% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 52.8%
Defensive zone
Bourque 50.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 51.7%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Komarov
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
46.7% (508)
+1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
27.3% (22)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
42.9% (28)
+2.7%
On power play, Komarov has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Komarov
Bourque
Home
49.2% (537)
47.3% (262)
Away
45.7% (591)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Komarov
Bourque
P1
47.6%
42.4%
P2
47.3%
42.9%
P3
47.5%
50.7%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%