Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Bourque 46.2% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 51.1%
Neutral zone
Komarov 50.7%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Komarov
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
46.4% (494)
+2.2%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
21.4% (14)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
42.3% (26)
+3.3%
On power play, Komarov has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Bourque is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (400).
Home / Away
Komarov
Bourque
Home
49.2% (537)
47.1% (242)
Away
45.7% (591)
44.2% (292)
By Period
Komarov
Bourque
P1
47.6%
42.7%
P2
47.3%
42.7%
P3
47.5%
50.2%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Bourque
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%