Leo Komarov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.7%
Defensive zone
Komarov 61.8%
Neutral zone
Komarov 58.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Komarov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Komarov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Komarov 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
6
Komarov
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Komarov
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
53.3% (1,412)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
42.8% (502)
+2.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Komarov
MacKinnon
Home
49.2% (537)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
45.7% (591)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Komarov
MacKinnon
P1
47.6%
47.4%
P2
47.3%
46.6%
P3
47.5%
46.1%
OT
41.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 6, 2014 | OT | 01:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |