Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +54.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 50.5% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+54.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Komarov
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
100.0% (1)
45.8% (755)
+54.2%
On even strength, Komarov has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
By Period
Komarov
MacKinnon
P3
100.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
100.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%