Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Komarov wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.2% vs Acciari 48.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 74.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.7%
Neutral zone
Komarov 68.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Komarov
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Komarov
Acciari
Last 5: Komarov 1-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Komarov
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Komarov
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (70)
51.2% (557)
-8.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
35.7% (14)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
40.8% (223)
-14.1%
On power play, Acciari has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Komarov is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Komarov shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Komarov
Acciari
Home
40.0% (40)
49.0% (392)
Away
39.1% (46)
47.0% (402)
By Period
Komarov
Acciari
P1
36.1%
52.9%
P2
46.2%
44.7%
P3
37.5%
47.0%
Final 5 min
22.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |