Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Acciari 51.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 73.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 55.7%
Neutral zone
Komarov 61.7%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Komarov
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Komarov
Acciari
Last 6: Komarov 1-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Komarov
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Komarov
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
52.8% (3,276)
-4.2%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
48.2% (85)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
47.1% (1,061)
-1.5%
On power play, Acciari has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Komarov
Acciari
Home
49.2% (537)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
45.7% (591)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Komarov
Acciari
P1
47.6%
52.2%
P2
47.3%
51.5%
P3
47.5%
50.5%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |