Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 46.7% vs Johansen 54.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Komarov
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Komarov
Johansen
Last 5: Komarov 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
1
Komarov
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (56)
54.0% (1,251)
-11.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.9% (158)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (139)
55.6% (63)
-9.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Komarov is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Komarov shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Komarov
Johansen
Home
49.5% (103)
56.3% (746)
Away
40.4% (99)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Komarov
Johansen
P1
49.1%
54.0%
P2
39.0%
53.8%
P3
49.3%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |