Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 94.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 75.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 77.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Komarov
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Komarov
Johansen
Last 9: Komarov 7-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
3
2
Komarov
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
4
0
Komarov
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
56.2% (2,163)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
50.5% (978)
-4.9%
On power play, Johansen has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Komarov
Johansen
Home
49.2% (537)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.7% (591)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Komarov
Johansen
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
47.3%
53.9%
P3
47.5%
52.8%
OT
41.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |