Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 89.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 74.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Komarov
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Komarov
Seguin
Last 5: Komarov 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
3
0
Komarov
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
55.9% (810)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
49.3% (762)
-3.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Komarov
Seguin
Home
49.2% (537)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.7% (591)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Komarov
Seguin
P1
47.6%
52.8%
P2
47.3%
53.3%
P3
47.5%
54.7%
OT
41.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | OT | 04:05 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |