Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 86.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Last 9: Fantilli 7-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
55.9% (835)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
61.8% (228)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (40)
+4.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Home
50.8% (472)
55.1% (508)
Away
49.2% (480)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Fantilli
Draisaitl
P1
47.8%
55.8%
P2
52.7%
55.7%
P3
50.0%
59.0%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |